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Crypto Bearings

Cycle Risk track record

Where the ~4-year crypto cycle sat each week, on the record before the outcome was known. The same Overall Cycle Risk the header shows, dated and left unedited.

25/100Low
Week over week +2.0
$65,329

Nothing much moving down here. On-Chain 25, Price-Structure 19, Social 22, ETF Flows 34, Hashrate 12, Peak Dwell 0, clustered near where prior cycles found a floor.

23/100Low
Week over week +2.3
$64,653

On-Chain 24, Price-Structure 19, Social 20, ETF Flows 29. The gauges have held low for weeks, the shape past bear markets traced before turning.

20/100Low
Week over week +0.4
$63,752

Low and flat, week after week. On-Chain 22, Price-Structure 18, levels earlier cycles reached in their bottoming phase.

18/100Very Low
Week over week +0.3
$61,438

All three gauges read low: On-Chain 20, Price-Structure 17, Social 18. Historically this is the zone these metrics exist to flag. Not a call, just where the cycle sits.

Analytics, not advice. These readings describe where market data sits in the cycle; they are not trading signals, price targets, or financial advice.