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Crypto Bearings

Mayer Multiple

BTC

Bitcoin price relative to its 200-day moving average, a simple and durable distance-from-trend oscillator.

What it is

The Mayer Multiple divides price by its 200-day simple moving average. It is a plain read on how far price has stretched above or below its roughly one-year trend, and it works at both tops and bottoms.

How it's computed

Divide the current price by the 200-day simple moving average of price.

How to read it

High readings, historically 2 to 8 and above, mark tops; low readings of 0.2 to 0.7 mark bottoms. It is log-normalized, since it ranges from about 0.2 to 13 and is always positive.

At prior cycle extremes

The Mayer Multiple has reached large multiples at tops, each cycle's peak lower than the last (roughly 13, then 8, then 3.8, then 2.0), and fallen well below 1 at bottoms.
See it live on the Price-Structure Risk chartIncluded with Pro; a preview is open to everyone.

Related

Analytics, not advice. These metrics describe where market data sits in the cycle; they are not trading signals, price targets, or financial advice.