Pi Cycle Top
BTCThe classic Pi Cycle Top indicator as a continuous ratio: the 111-day average against twice the 350-day average, a signal that is precise at tops.
What it is
Pi Cycle Top tracks the 111-day moving average against twice the 350-day moving average. The original indicator 'fires' when the fast average crosses above the slow one; as a ratio, that is a crossing of 1. It is one of the most precise top callers there is.
How it's computed
Divide the 111-day moving average of price by twice the 350-day moving average. A ratio reaching 1 marks a cycle top, and it sits well below 1 otherwise. It is linear-normalized, being a bounded ratio rather than an order-of-magnitude oscillator.
How to read it
Its crossings of 1 have landed on the major tops to within days, including the exact top day in December 2017. The trade-off is well known: it catches the primary blow-off but not lower secondary peaks, and it did not fire at the November 2021 second top.
At prior cycle extremes
The ratio crossed 1 at the April 2013, December 2013, December 2017, and April 2021 tops, several within a day of the peak.
Related
Analytics, not advice. These metrics describe where market data sits in the cycle; they are not trading signals, price targets, or financial advice.