X Analyst Follower Growth

This leg sums the daily follower counts of a small, hand-audited cohort of broad-market crypto voices on X, then measures how fast that total is growing. The loudest analysts pick up followers fastest when new money is arriving, so the pace of their audience growth is a read on retail attention.

Take the 30-day rate of change of the cohort's combined follower count, then express it as a z-score against its trailing ~2-year baseline, the same standardization the Reddit leg uses. The baseline keeps each era readable and discounts the sparse early data.

A high reading means audiences are piling into the top analysts, which tends to happen on the way up rather than at the peak. In the last cycle the pace crested about eight months before the price top and was already fading by the top itself, so this leg is weighted low: it corroborates the early-bull attention surge instead of timing the top.

Follower growth accelerated through the run-up and went flat in the bear. The follower record is dense only from 2023 on, so the weight rests on a single clean cycle for now.